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Abstract
The paper sets out the agenda for reviewing models of decision making in the context of farmers’
use of seasonal climate forecasting. Such forecasts have been framed in terms of shifts in
cumulative distribution functions of yields or gross margins. Typically they have been applied to
choices about crop variety, crop type, time of planting or level of fertiliser application. Fundamental
questions are: how do farmers conceptualise and make use of the information contained in
seasonal climate forecasts? Do our models of decision making represent well the way in which these
decisions are made?