What makes reforms likely: Political economy determinants of reforms in Latin America

The purpose of this paper is to test the main hypotheses of the recent theoretical literature on the political economy of reform for the case of the Latin American countries between 1985 and 1995. The paper first reviews the literature and extracts the main testable hypotheses. Then, a system of indices that measure the extent of reform in five policy areas is presented. These indices are used as the dependent variables in panel regressions where the main explanatory variables are indicators of crisis, political variables and indicators of channels of contagion. We find very strong support for the well-known hypothesis that crises make reform viable and also for the (less theoretically sound) hypotheses that reforms are more likely at the beginning of government periods. None of the hypotheses on the role of political and distributional variables, the importance of compensation schemes or contagion, finds support in our results. Rather disappointingly, however, most of the reforms seem to have responded to a process of convergence.


Issue Date:
2004-05
Publication Type:
Journal Article
DOI and Other Identifiers:
Print ISSN 1514-0326 (Other)
Online ISSN 1667-6726 (Other)
PURL Identifier:
http://purl.umn.edu/43851
Published in:
Journal of Applied Economics, Volume 07, Number 1
Page range:
99-135
Total Pages:
37
JEL Codes:
D78; D72; C52




 Record created 2017-04-01, last modified 2017-08-25

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