Undoubtedly, the Farmer Support Program (FSP) has been the most significant initiative at promoting structural change, away from subsistence farming towards commercialisation of agriculture in South Africa. The implementation and effects of the FSP have been exhaustively analysed, and the initiative has been judged to be mostly successful. This paper reports on a different issue related to the FSP : An analysis of the farm and household characteristics that may be used to predict the likely participation of small-scale farmers in the FSP. Probit analysis was used to analyse data obtained from 100 participants and nonparticipants in the Keiskammahoek FSP in the Eastern Cape Province. The analysis yielded a correct prediction in 78.6% of cases.