Credit Risk Migration Analysis of Illinois Farm Business: Possible Impacts of Farm Business Cycle

This study uses the cohort approach to estimate the credit risk migration probability of farm business. Using data from the Farm Business and Farm Management, this study rates the credit risk into 10 risk levels plus a default level, defines a farm business cycle with peak, normal and trough periods and evaluates the effect on farm financial performance of the farm business booms and slumps. The results show that the farms with low credit risk are more likely to stay in the same risk level but the farms with high credit risk have the trend to improve their risk situation and move upwards. The results also show that the credit risk ratings are more likely to move upgrade during farm business cycle peaks.


Issue Date:
2005
Publication Type:
Conference Paper/ Presentation
PURL Identifier:
http://purl.umn.edu/19292
Total Pages:
23
Series Statement:
Selected Paper 136502




 Record created 2017-04-01, last modified 2017-08-24

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