Files
Abstract
This report evaluates the U.S. and world wheat markets for the 2010-2020 time period using the
Global Wheat Policy Simulation Model. This analysis is based on a series of assumptions about
general economic conditions, agricultural policies, weather conditions, and technological change.
Both the U.S. and world wheat economies are predicted to remain relatively healthy for
the next ten years. World demand for both common and durum wheat are expected to remain
strong. The price levels in 2010 and early 2011 will not be maintained because they are the result
of a small wheat crop in the Former Soviet Union (FSU). It is expected that wheat production in
the FSU will return to normal in the future. World trade volumes of both classes of wheat are
expected to expand, but trade volume of common wheat may grow faster than that of durum
wheat.